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Red28
839710.2
861111.9
972112.6
Blue61
598011.6
611418.4
567527.6
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3762020801002861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9721
#26
12.60.8
14.313.5
Auto7.7
Teleop3.5
End1.4
blue by 15.1
27.60.5
24.424.9
Auto12.3
Teleop14.8
End0.5
Second
8611
#28
11.90.6
11.611.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End1.8
blue by 6.5
6114
#20
18.40.7
16.717.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Third
8397
#34
10.20.8
10.710.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End1.5
blue by 1.4
5980
#33
11.60.5
11.912.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed