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Red45
295927.9
92236.9
642810.6
Blue41
92067.9
214520.4
28820.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465502040801001204541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.2
24.524.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End2.2
red by 7.5
2145
#24
20.40.5
20.520.0
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Second
6428
#38
10.60.2
10.210.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End2.3
blue by 9.8
288
#21
20.40.5
20.520.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Third
9223
#36
6.90.2
7.77.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End1.2
blue by 1.0
9206
#39
7.90.7
7.67.0
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed