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Red76
485518.7
10723.3
335735.5
Blue44
861111.9
34588.7
592723.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions904002060801001201407644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.0
35.635.6
Auto10.8
Teleop21.5
End3.2
red by 12.4
5927
#16
23.00.1
22.122.2
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End0.6
Second
107
#17
23.30.0
22.322.3
Auto9.9
Teleop12.0
End1.3
red by 11.3
8611
#28
11.90.1
11.011.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Third
4855
#11
18.70.0
17.917.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.1
End2.9
red by 10.0
3458
#27
8.70.1
9.09.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed