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Red79
276739.5
354628.7
642810.6
Blue51
60947.8
92057.4
567527.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions913802060801001201407951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.1
38.738.5
Auto13.2
Teleop21.1
End5.1
red by 11.8
27.60.4
24.925.4
Auto12.3
Teleop14.8
End0.5
Second
28.70.1
26.726.6
Auto10.3
Teleop15.2
End3.2
red by 20.9
6094
#40
7.80.4
7.88.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End0.2
Third
6428
#38
10.60.1
10.410.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End2.3
red by 3.2
9205
#41
7.40.4
7.78.1
Auto4.7
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned3%Ensemble oddsMissed