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Red47
642810.6
24421.3
72488.0
Blue65
861111.9
276739.5
92484.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3762020801004765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#25
21.30.4
18.919.3
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End2.3
blue by 18.2
39.50.8
38.539.3
Auto13.2
Teleop21.1
End5.1
Second
6428
#38
10.60.4
10.310.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End2.3
blue by 1.3
8611
#28
11.90.8
11.111.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Third
7248
#42
8.00.4
7.68.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End-0.1
red by 3.4
9248
#37
4.60.8
3.84.6
Auto2.4
Teleop1.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed