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Red31
598011.6
28820.4
92057.4
Blue85
10723.3
592723.0
21627.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4084020601001203185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#21
20.40.7
20.920.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End2.3
blue by 7.3
216
#12
27.70.3
26.226.5
Auto5.2
Teleop19.6
End2.8
Second
5980
#33
11.60.7
12.311.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 11.7
107
#17
23.30.3
22.322.6
Auto9.9
Teleop12.0
End1.3
Third
9205
#41
7.40.7
8.17.4
Auto4.7
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 15.6
5927
#16
23.00.3
22.222.5
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned