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Red104
354628.7
612123.0
721124.7
Blue74
191821.9
214520.4
600222.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8070406010012010474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.4
27.027.4
Auto10.3
Teleop15.2
End3.2
red by 6.3
6002
#10
22.50.1
22.322.3
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.4
Second
24.70.4
22.923.3
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2
red by 2.7
1918
#14
21.90.1
21.721.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End3.8
Third
6121
#13
23.00.4
21.221.6
Auto7.5
Teleop12.6
End2.9
red by 2.6
2145
#24
20.40.1
20.220.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End1.4