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Red62
28820.4
21627.7
400317.3
Blue73
295927.9
687712.9
10723.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73700501001506273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#12
27.70.1
27.727.7
Auto5.2
Teleop19.6
End2.8
blue by 0.2
27.90.2
27.627.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End2.2
Second
288
#21
20.40.1
20.520.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End2.3
blue by 2.9
107
#17
23.30.2
23.023.3
Auto9.9
Teleop12.0
End1.3
Third
4003
#22
17.30.1
17.417.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.0
End3.1
red by 4.4
6877
#15
12.90.2
12.712.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.1