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Red45
335726.7
277116.1
516712.5
Blue28
64286.3
387518.2
485512.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69410501001504528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.9
28.027.1
Auto4.6
Teleop19.5
End2.7
red by 8.6
3875
#13
18.20.8
19.018.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.0
Second
16.10.9
17.016.0
Auto7.5
Teleop6.8
End1.7
red by 3.4
4855
#10
12.70.8
14.313.5
Auto6.7
Teleop4.4
End1.7
Third
5167
#11
12.50.9
14.213.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End3.4
red by 6.2
6428
#18
6.30.8
7.16.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed