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Red36
91064.3
95428.7
828517.3
Blue19
956612.8
9046.1
400312.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324302060801001201403619

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.4
17.317.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.0
End1.2
red by 4.6
9566
#15
12.81.6
15.513.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End0.7
Second
8.70.4
8.38.7
Auto5.7
Teleop2.9
End0.1
blue by 3.9
12.61.6
14.212.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.7
Third
4.30.4
4.64.9
Auto1.8
Teleop2.1
End0.4
blue by 1.8
904
#14
6.11.6
7.76.2
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed