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Red24
85816.1
516712.5
96712.9
Blue48
485512.7
335726.7
567526.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32900501001502448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#16
16.10.8
17.316.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.1
End1.6
blue by 10.7
26.71.7
29.828.0
Auto4.6
Teleop19.5
End2.7
Second
5167
#11
12.50.8
15.014.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End3.4
blue by 14.0
26.51.7
28.426.6
Auto9.8
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Third
9671
#17
2.90.8
3.12.3
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End-0.2
blue by 9.9
4855
#10
12.71.7
16.114.3
Auto6.7
Teleop4.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed