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Red36
56415.1
496715.2
64286.3
Blue67
276737.1
277116.1
387518.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20920501503667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.20.3
15.415.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End1.8
blue by 21.8
37.10.5
38.137.6
Auto12.4
Teleop20.7
End3.9
Second
6428
#18
6.30.3
6.87.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End1.8
blue by 11.9
3875
#13
18.20.5
19.519.0
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.0
Third
5641
#12
5.10.3
4.75.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End-0.1
blue by 11.0
16.10.5
17.517.0
Auto7.5
Teleop6.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed