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Red15
96712.9
91064.3
485512.7
Blue49
956612.8
95428.7
85816.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26460204060801001201549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#10
12.70.7
16.816.1
Auto6.7
Teleop4.4
End1.7
blue by 3.3
858
#16
16.10.7
16.617.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.1
End1.6
Second
4.30.7
5.34.6
Auto1.8
Teleop2.1
End0.4
blue by 8.5
9566
#15
12.80.7
14.815.5
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End0.7
Third
9671
#17
2.90.7
3.83.1
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End-0.2
blue by 5.8
8.70.7
7.78.3
Auto5.7
Teleop2.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed