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Red47
276737.1
335726.7
496715.2
Blue38
9046.1
516712.5
387518.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111400501001502004738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.13.0
41.138.1
Auto12.4
Teleop20.7
End3.9
red by 18.9
3875
#13
18.20.8
20.319.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.0
Second
26.73.0
32.829.8
Auto4.6
Teleop19.5
End2.7
red by 14.2
5167
#11
12.50.8
15.715.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Third
15.23.0
18.415.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End1.8
red by 9.1
904
#14
6.10.8
8.57.7
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
62%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed