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Red20
828517.3
64286.3
400312.6
Blue35
567526.5
56415.1
277116.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4563020801001201401602035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.31.5
18.817.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.0
End1.2
blue by 9.2
26.51.3
29.728.4
Auto9.8
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Second
12.61.5
15.714.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.7
blue by 3.5
16.11.3
18.817.5
Auto7.5
Teleop6.8
End1.7
Third
6428
#18
6.31.5
8.46.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End1.8
red by 1.2
5641
#12
5.11.3
6.04.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed