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Red17
387518.2
956612.8
96712.9
Blue24
9046.1
91064.3
335726.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485901001501724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#13
18.21.8
22.120.3
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.0
blue by 8.6
26.71.9
34.732.8
Auto4.6
Teleop19.5
End2.7
Second
9566
#15
12.81.8
16.714.8
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End0.7
red by 6.6
904
#14
6.11.9
10.48.5
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End1.9
Third
9671
#17
2.91.8
5.63.8
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End-0.2
blue by 1.4
4.31.9
7.25.3
Auto1.8
Teleop2.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed