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Red67
828517.3
485512.7
276737.1
Blue25
95428.7
56415.1
516712.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97240501502006725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.10.8
42.041.1
Auto12.4
Teleop20.7
End3.9
red by 24.5
5167
#11
12.50.4
16.115.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Second
17.30.8
19.618.8
Auto7.1
Teleop9.0
End1.2
red by 8.7
8.70.4
8.07.7
Auto5.7
Teleop2.9
End0.1
Third
4855
#10
12.70.8
17.616.8
Auto6.7
Teleop4.4
End1.7
red by 7.6
5641
#12
5.10.4
6.46.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed