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Red58
400312.6
567526.5
496715.2
Blue31
277116.1
64286.3
85816.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions764801001502005831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.5
30.229.7
Auto9.8
Teleop15.2
End1.5
red by 10.4
16.11.1
19.918.8
Auto7.5
Teleop6.8
End1.7
Second
15.20.5
18.918.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End1.8
blue by 0.8
858
#16
16.11.1
17.716.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.1
End1.6
Third
12.60.5
16.215.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.7
red by 6.3
6428
#18
6.31.1
9.48.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed