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Red46
91064.3
85816.1
567526.5
Blue52
95428.7
276737.1
9046.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525902040801001201401604652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.1
26.626.5
Auto9.8
Teleop15.2
End1.5
blue by 10.5
37.10.0
37.637.5
Auto12.4
Teleop20.7
End3.9
Second
858
#16
16.10.1
16.516.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.1
End1.6
red by 7.4
8.70.0
8.78.7
Auto5.7
Teleop2.9
End0.1
Third
4.30.1
4.94.8
Auto1.8
Teleop2.1
End0.4
blue by 1.8
904
#14
6.10.0
6.26.1
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed