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Red37
277116.1
96712.9
828517.3
Blue29
516712.5
485512.7
956612.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394502060801003729

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.1
17.317.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.0
End1.2
red by 4.6
9566
#15
12.80.7
13.512.8
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End0.7
Second
16.10.1
16.016.1
Auto7.5
Teleop6.8
End1.7
red by 3.4
4855
#10
12.70.7
13.512.7
Auto6.7
Teleop4.4
End1.7
Third
9671
#17
2.90.1
2.82.9
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End-0.2
blue by 9.6
5167
#11
12.50.7
13.312.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed