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Red41
567526.5
9046.1
64286.3
Blue41
496715.2
387518.2
95428.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424701020306070804141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.5
Auto9.8
Teleop15.2
End1.5
red by 8.3
3875
#13
18.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.0
Second
6428
#18
6.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End1.8
blue by 9.0
15.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End1.8
Third
904
#14
6.1
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End1.9
blue by 2.5
8.7
Auto5.7
Teleop2.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed