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Red44
56415.1
85816.1
335726.7
Blue48
400312.6
276737.1
91064.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536301001502004448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.3
27.126.7
Auto4.6
Teleop19.5
End2.7
blue by 10.3
37.10.5
37.537.1
Auto12.4
Teleop20.7
End3.9
Second
858
#16
16.10.3
16.416.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.1
End1.6
red by 3.5
12.60.5
13.112.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.7
Third
5641
#12
5.10.3
5.55.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End-0.1
red by 0.8
4.30.5
4.84.3
Auto1.8
Teleop2.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed