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Red58
509811.7
110828.8
18477.7
Blue113
580130.9
93532.7
170651.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56132010015020058113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1108
#12
28.80.4
28.127.7
Auto12.0
Teleop14.7
End2.1
blue by 22.3
51.10.2
48.849.0
Auto16.3
Teleop28.4
End6.4
Second
5098
#30
11.70.4
17.517.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End0.3
blue by 21.0
935
#4
32.70.2
29.329.4
Auto11.5
Teleop18.3
End2.9
Third
1847
#31
7.70.4
13.813.3
Auto1.4
Teleop4.5
End1.7
blue by 23.2
30.90.2
32.532.7
Auto9.8
Teleop19.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsMissed99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned