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Red87
432922.0
173036.7
93126.8
Blue73
180612.7
198215.2
940135.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9981501508773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.0
34.134.1
Auto9.9
Teleop24.0
End2.8
red by 1.6
9401
#16
35.00.8
37.836.9
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.0
Second
931
#6
26.80.0
28.428.4
Auto11.6
Teleop13.1
End2.1
red by 11.6
1982
#20
15.20.8
19.518.7
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Third
4329
#11
22.00.0
24.724.7
Auto4.2
Teleop15.3
End2.4
red by 9.3
1806
#28
12.70.8
17.917.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed