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Red57
297814.2
706414.1
198623.9
Blue59
807710.0
642430.8
256014.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576902040801001205759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#25
23.90.2
24.524.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.8
End2.4
blue by 6.9
30.81.1
32.831.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.1
End2.5
Second
2978
#22
14.20.2
14.014.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End2.3
red by 0.2
2560
#15
14.01.1
14.313.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Third
7064
#27
14.10.2
14.715.0
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End-0.4
red by 4.1
8077
#29
10.01.1
13.812.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed