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Red58
93532.7
180210.5
17759.3
Blue80
806925.6
170651.1
639121.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5811101001502005880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#4Sur
32.70.2
29.429.3
Auto11.5
Teleop18.3
End2.9
blue by 18.4
51.10.9
49.048.1
Auto16.3
Teleop28.4
End6.4
Second
1802
#26
10.50.2
14.114.0
Auto6.0
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 15.1
8069
#9Sur
25.60.9
25.324.4
Auto6.0
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Third
1775
#32
9.30.2
14.914.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End0.5
blue by 12.3
6391
#17
21.60.9
19.618.7
Auto9.5
Teleop10.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed72%Ensemble oddsEarned