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Red81
176919.7
198215.2
173036.7
Blue76
245721.0
940135.0
882518.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73892040601001201401608176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.6
34.134.7
Auto9.9
Teleop24.0
End2.8
red by 1.6
9401
#16
35.00.2
36.936.8
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.0
Second
19.70.6
15.115.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.4
End1.8
blue by 1.3
2457
#10
21.00.2
20.320.2
Auto9.4
Teleop8.6
End2.9
Third
1982
#20
15.20.6
18.719.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End1.7
blue by 3.6
8825
#19
18.80.2
21.621.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed