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Red66
93126.8
450026.1
509811.7
Blue59
432922.0
110828.8
495913.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827540506070901001101206659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#6
26.80.8
28.427.6
Auto11.6
Teleop13.1
End2.1
blue by 2.1
1108
#12
28.80.6
27.727.1
Auto12.0
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Second
4500
#21
26.10.8
27.526.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.1
End1.7
red by 4.2
4329
#11
22.00.6
24.724.1
Auto4.2
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Third
5098
#30
11.70.8
17.116.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End0.3
blue by 1.3
4959
#34
13.00.6
15.915.3
Auto7.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed