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Red43
198215.2
806925.6
807710.0
Blue75
882518.8
93532.7
526813.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617102040801001201401604375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.9
24.423.5
Auto6.0
Teleop16.1
End3.6
blue by 7.1
935
#4
32.70.5
29.329.7
Auto11.5
Teleop18.3
End2.9
Second
1982
#20
15.20.9
19.318.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End1.7
blue by 3.6
8825
#19
18.80.5
21.421.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End1.4
Third
8077
#29
10.00.9
12.611.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End2.5
blue by 3.7
5268
#23
13.80.5
12.312.8
Auto8.6
Teleop5.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed