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Red45
18477.7
44558.3
176919.7
Blue42
17759.3
182519.3
580130.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338002040601001201404542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.2
15.715.6
Auto5.4
Teleop12.4
End1.8
blue by 11.2
30.91.7
33.231.6
Auto9.8
Teleop19.8
End1.3
Second
4455
#18
8.30.2
7.77.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.2
End1.6
blue by 11.1
1825
#24
19.31.7
19.117.4
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End1.7
Third
1847
#31
7.70.2
12.011.8
Auto1.4
Teleop4.5
End1.7
blue by 1.6
1775
#32
9.31.7
14.713.0
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed