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Red56
256014.0
940135.0
450026.1
Blue58
509811.7
245721.0
512621.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886002040801001201405658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9401
#16
35.01.4
36.835.4
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.0
red by 13.8
5126
#13
21.20.8
21.620.8
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End0.2
Second
4500
#21
26.11.4
26.725.4
Auto8.4
Teleop16.1
End1.7
red by 5.2
2457
#10
21.00.8
20.219.4
Auto9.4
Teleop8.6
End2.9
Third
2560
#15
14.01.4
13.211.8
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.4
red by 2.3
5098
#30
11.70.8
16.315.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed