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Red96
432922.0
198623.9
642430.8
Blue58
110828.8
93126.8
747213.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89750501502002509658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.8
30.431.1
Auto9.2
Teleop19.1
End2.5
red by 1.9
1108
#12
28.80.8
27.126.3
Auto12.0
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Second
1986
#25
23.90.8
24.825.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.8
End2.4
blue by 2.9
931
#6
26.80.8
27.626.8
Auto11.6
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Third
4329
#11
22.00.8
24.124.9
Auto4.2
Teleop15.3
End2.4
red by 8.1
7472
#33
13.90.8
14.914.1
Auto6.2
Teleop5.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed