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Red34
509811.7
180612.7
706414.1
Blue77
526813.8
198623.9
806925.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4773020601001201401603477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7064
#27
14.10.7
14.113.4
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End-0.4
blue by 11.5
25.60.9
25.026.0
Auto6.0
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Second
1806
#28
12.70.7
16.816.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End0.6
blue by 11.3
1986
#25
23.90.9
25.126.1
Auto6.7
Teleop14.8
End2.4
Third
5098
#30
11.70.7
14.313.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End0.3
blue by 2.0
5268
#23
13.80.9
12.813.7
Auto8.6
Teleop5.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned