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Red104
940135.0
176919.7
110828.8
Blue81
93532.7
256014.0
198736.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions869205015020025010481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9401
#16
35.01.7
37.339.0
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.0
blue by 1.1
1987
#14
36.20.1
37.637.5
Auto13.1
Teleop20.2
End2.9
Second
1108
#12
28.81.7
25.827.5
Auto12.0
Teleop14.7
End2.1
blue by 3.9
935
#4
32.70.1
31.631.5
Auto11.5
Teleop18.3
End2.9
Third
19.71.7
15.317.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.4
End1.8
red by 5.7
2560
#15
14.00.1
13.313.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed