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Red69
639121.6
706414.1
580130.9
Blue68
198215.2
450026.1
245721.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72664060801006968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.3
30.731.0
Auto9.8
Teleop19.8
End1.3
red by 4.7
4500
#21
26.10.1
24.924.8
Auto8.4
Teleop16.1
End1.7
Second
6391
#17
21.60.3
20.320.6
Auto9.5
Teleop10.2
End1.9
red by 0.6
2457
#10
21.00.1
18.318.2
Auto9.4
Teleop8.6
End2.9
Third
7064
#27
14.10.3
13.413.7
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End-0.4
blue by 1.1
1982
#20
15.20.1
17.617.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed