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Red72
180210.5
501328.1
495913.0
Blue68
182519.3
526813.8
642430.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59690501001507268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.2
28.628.5
Auto9.8
Teleop15.7
End2.6
blue by 2.7
30.80.4
30.631.1
Auto9.2
Teleop19.1
End2.5
Second
4959
#34
13.00.2
13.913.8
Auto7.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 6.3
1825
#24
19.30.4
17.017.5
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End1.7
Third
1802
#26
10.50.2
11.911.8
Auto6.0
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 3.3
5268
#23
13.80.4
13.714.2
Auto8.6
Teleop5.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned37%Ensemble oddsMissed