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Red72
173036.7
526813.8
256014.0
Blue74
44558.3
180612.7
93532.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68562040801007274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.8
33.234.1
Auto9.9
Teleop24.0
End2.8
red by 4.0
935
#4
32.71.5
27.829.3
Auto11.5
Teleop18.3
End2.9
Second
2560
#15
14.00.8
14.515.3
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.4
red by 1.3
1806
#28
12.71.5
16.517.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End0.6
Third
5268
#23
13.80.8
12.012.8
Auto8.6
Teleop5.1
End0.1
red by 5.5
4455
#18
8.31.5
7.69.1
Auto4.4
Teleop2.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed