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Red82
642430.8
180210.5
198215.2
Blue58
297814.2
509811.7
176919.7
86%Model gave it14%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71460204060801001208258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.4
31.432.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.1
End2.5
red by 11.1
19.70.9
14.615.5
Auto5.4
Teleop12.4
End1.8
Second
1982
#20
15.21.4
18.119.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End1.7
red by 1.0
2978
#22
14.20.9
13.114.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End2.3
Third
1802
#26
10.51.4
11.613.0
Auto6.0
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 1.2
5098
#30
11.70.9
16.617.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed