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Red69
580130.9
245721.0
198623.9
Blue72
170651.1
432922.0
512621.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84119501001506972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.2
33.732.5
Auto9.8
Teleop19.8
End1.3
blue by 20.2
51.12.5
51.348.8
Auto16.3
Teleop28.4
End6.4
Second
1986
#25
23.91.2
25.724.5
Auto6.7
Teleop14.8
End2.4
red by 2.0
4329
#11
22.02.5
27.224.7
Auto4.2
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Third
2457
#10
21.01.2
20.419.2
Auto9.4
Teleop8.6
End2.9
blue by 0.3
5126
#13
21.22.5
25.422.9
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsEarned