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Red91
17759.3
747213.9
198736.2
Blue53
526813.8
706414.1
450026.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716002040801001201409153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#14
36.21.9
37.139.0
Auto13.1
Teleop20.2
End2.9
red by 10.0
4500
#21
26.10.2
27.727.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.1
End1.7
Second
7472
#33
13.91.9
12.714.6
Auto6.2
Teleop5.5
End2.2
blue by 0.2
7064
#27
14.10.2
14.914.7
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End-0.4
Third
1775
#32
9.31.9
13.014.9
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End0.5
blue by 4.5
5268
#23
13.80.2
12.812.6
Auto8.6
Teleop5.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed