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Red72
180210.5
170651.1
706414.1
Blue75
44558.3
450026.1
173036.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85800501001502007275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.10.6
51.550.9
Auto16.3
Teleop28.4
End6.4
red by 14.4
36.70.2
38.137.9
Auto9.9
Teleop24.0
End2.8
Second
7064
#27
14.10.6
14.113.5
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End-0.4
blue by 12.0
4500
#21
26.10.2
26.526.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.1
End1.7
Third
1802
#26
10.50.6
10.810.2
Auto6.0
Teleop4.0
End0.5
red by 2.2
4455
#18
8.30.2
8.78.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned