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Red35
495913.0
17759.3
526813.8
Blue65
580130.9
297814.2
940135.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301060501502003565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5268
#23
13.80.1
13.913.8
Auto8.6
Teleop5.1
End0.1
blue by 21.3
9401
#16
35.01.5
38.036.6
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.0
Second
4959
#34
13.00.1
12.412.4
Auto7.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 17.8
30.91.5
31.730.2
Auto9.8
Teleop19.8
End1.3
Third
1775
#32
9.30.1
9.79.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End0.5
blue by 4.9
2978
#22
14.21.5
17.215.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed