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Red50
245721.0
256014.0
297814.2
Blue46
18477.7
93126.8
180210.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5452354045506065705046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2457
#10
21.00.1
19.920.0
Auto9.4
Teleop8.6
End2.9
blue by 5.8
931
#6
26.80.5
27.927.3
Auto11.6
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Second
2978
#22
14.20.1
14.614.7
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End2.3
red by 3.7
1802
#26
10.50.5
11.010.5
Auto6.0
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Third
2560
#15
14.00.1
13.914.0
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.4
red by 6.3
1847
#31
7.70.5
8.27.7
Auto1.4
Teleop4.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed