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Red45
747213.9
512621.2
526813.8
Blue77
639121.6
176919.7
501328.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5474020401001201401604577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#13
21.20.4
21.921.5
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End0.2
blue by 6.8
28.10.5
26.426.9
Auto9.8
Teleop15.7
End2.6
Second
7472
#33
13.90.4
14.313.9
Auto6.2
Teleop5.5
End2.2
blue by 7.7
6391
#17
21.60.5
20.120.6
Auto9.5
Teleop10.2
End1.9
Third
5268
#23
13.80.4
14.714.3
Auto8.6
Teleop5.1
End0.1
blue by 5.9
19.70.5
18.218.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned