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Red73
180612.7
807710.0
170651.1
Blue70
940135.0
509811.7
642430.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819402040601201401607370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.10.1
51.851.7
Auto16.3
Teleop28.4
End6.4
red by 16.1
9401
#16
35.01.6
37.135.6
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.0
Second
1806
#28
12.70.1
12.812.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End0.6
blue by 18.1
30.81.6
32.631.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.1
End2.5
Third
8077
#29
10.00.1
10.110.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End2.5
blue by 1.7
5098
#30
11.71.6
13.612.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsMissed86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned