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Red78
182519.3
110828.8
93532.7
Blue74
173036.7
17759.3
806925.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89782040601001201407874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#4
32.70.1
31.631.6
Auto11.5
Teleop18.3
End2.9
blue by 4.0
36.70.1
37.137.3
Auto9.9
Teleop24.0
End2.8
Second
1108
#12
28.80.1
29.029.0
Auto12.0
Teleop14.7
End2.1
red by 3.2
25.60.1
25.825.9
Auto6.0
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Third
1825
#24
19.30.1
18.318.2
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End1.7
red by 10.0
1775
#32
9.30.1
9.29.3
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed67%Ensemble oddsMissed