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Red120
501328.1
93532.7
182519.3
Blue58
176919.7
245721.0
639121.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886220408010012014012058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#4
32.70.7
31.632.2
Auto11.5
Teleop18.3
End2.9
red by 11.2
6391
#17
21.60.1
20.620.5
Auto9.5
Teleop10.2
End1.9
Second
28.10.7
26.927.6
Auto9.8
Teleop15.7
End2.6
red by 7.1
2457
#10
21.00.1
20.019.9
Auto9.4
Teleop8.6
End2.9
Third
1825
#24
19.30.7
18.218.8
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End1.7
blue by 0.3
19.70.1
18.718.6
Auto5.4
Teleop12.4
End1.8