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Red79
882518.8
198623.9
110828.8
Blue60
297814.2
940135.0
93126.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778702040601001201407960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1108
#12
28.80.2
28.728.8
Auto12.0
Teleop14.7
End2.1
blue by 6.2
9401
#16
35.00.5
35.535.0
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.0
Second
1986
#25
23.90.2
23.823.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.8
End2.4
blue by 2.9
931
#6
26.80.5
27.326.8
Auto11.6
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Third
8825
#19
18.80.2
18.718.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End1.4
red by 4.6
2978
#22
14.20.5
14.714.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End2.3