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Red43
388316.2
38718.5
305815.2
Blue43
250216.9
216914.1
247215.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4358020801004343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#16
16.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End2.4
blue by 0.6
16.9
Auto6.4
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Second
3058
#21
15.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Level
2472
#19
15.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End3.1
Third
3871
#26
8.5
Auto5.5
Teleop2.6
End0.4
blue by 5.6
2169
#32
14.1
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed