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Red37
485913.6
254912.3
604512.8
Blue33
423912.2
42078.9
181623.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415501001502003733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4859
#14
13.60.1
13.313.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End1.1
blue by 9.7
23.31.0
23.222.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End0.1
Second
6045
#20
12.80.1
13.713.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End0.5
red by 0.6
4239
#36
12.21.0
15.014.0
Auto6.2
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Third
2549
#11
12.30.1
11.911.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End0.5
red by 3.4
4207
#35
8.91.0
9.98.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed